Moderate your expectations on returns: Nilesh Shah’s market outlook

The mantra from Nilesh Shah, the markets guru, is clear: Be a long-term investor, moderate your expectations on returns and buy quality rather than being driven by momentum. Shah, who wears a hat frothing with many feathers including that of group president and managing director at Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company apart from being a part time member of the Economic Advisory Council of the Prime Minister, took time off his busy schedule to share his insights on the emerging outlook for the markets, his reading of the economy and also the poll outcome in Maharashtra. 

While the much-awaited election results in Maharashtra were meant to be only one component in a host of factors that influence market sentiment, it did matter that on the very first day after the ballot counting, the stock markets opened on a strong note. Here is Shah’s take on what to read into it: The election results give confidence to investors that now the government (at the Centre) may be more willing to take tough calls to push through reforms.

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As far as the elections in Maharashtra per se, whether the weight of the work done mattered or that of the welfare schemes, “the markets are fine as long as there is a balance between welfare and development.” Swing the needle sharply on either side and there could be reasons for worry, he feels. 

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Improving fundamentals

On the larger issue of the fundamentals of the economy, Nilesh Shah sees things only improving. “The first half of the year was subdued but the second half of FY 25 is likely to be better as the consumption story (subdued in Urban India and picking up in rural India) is likely to get a boost with a season of weddings,

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